Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Trenin 44.5% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 85.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Staal
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Staal
Trenin
Last 8: Staal 6-2 Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Staal
Trenin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Trenin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Trenin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
40.0% (90)
+16.1%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
0.0% (1)
+66.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
40.0% (20)
+3.0%
On power play, Staal has a +66.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Trenin is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Staal
Trenin
Home
55.4% (663)
45.5% (55)
Away
54.4% (676)
33.9% (56)
By Period
Staal
Trenin
P1
55.1%
39.2%
P2
54.7%
38.7%
P3
53.9%
41.4%
Final 5 min
57.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |