Jordan Staal vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 62.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Staal
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
43.2% (146)
+12.9%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
50.0% (2)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
44.8% (29)
-1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Staal
Girgensons
Home
55.4% (663)
40.3% (72)
Away
54.4% (676)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Staal
Girgensons
P1
55.1%
43.8%
P2
54.7%
44.6%
P3
53.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
57.2%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |