Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Weal 54.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 57.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 59.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Carter
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carter
Weal
Last 8: Carter 2-6 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
0
1
Carter
Weal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
2
3
Carter
Weal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
0
2
Carter
Weal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
55.4% (551)
-5.5%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
64.3% (42)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
16.7% (6)
+30.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Carter is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Carter shoots right. Weal is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Carter
Weal
Home
52.4% (638)
53.5% (269)
Away
50.0% (546)
57.3% (330)
By Period
Carter
Weal
P1
49.6%
60.9%
P2
50.9%
56.3%
P3
53.0%
49.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |