Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 55.6%). Look for Weal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Weal 54.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 56.9%
Defensive zone
Weal 58.6%
Neutral zone
Weal 59.0%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Toews
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Toews
Weal
Last 6: Toews 2-4 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
1
2
Toews
Weal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Weal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
0
1
Toews
Weal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
55.4% (551)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
64.3% (42)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
16.7% (6)
+34.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Toews shoots left. Weal is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Toews
Weal
Home
56.6% (927)
53.5% (269)
Away
56.0% (953)
57.3% (330)
By Period
Toews
Weal
P1
56.3%
60.9%
P2
55.8%
56.3%
P3
57.3%
49.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |