Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Weal wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 54.8% vs Hayes 49.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 87.8%
Defensive zone
Weal 82.4%
Neutral zone
Weal 82.6%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Weal
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Weal
Hayes
Last 8: Weal 6-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
1
0
Weal
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
3
2
Weal
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
2
0
Weal
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (551)
50.5% (764)
+4.9%
Power Play
64.3% (42)
53.3% (90)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
38.6% (127)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Weal is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Weal shoots right. Hayes is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Weal
Hayes
Home
53.5% (269)
49.0% (531)
Away
57.3% (330)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Weal
Hayes
P1
60.9%
52.3%
P2
56.3%
45.8%
P3
49.5%
50.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |