Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Hayes 47.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Weal leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Weal 80.6%
Defensive zone
Weal 51.1%
Neutral zone
Weal 76.2%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Weal
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Weal
Hayes
Last 10: Weal 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
2
0
Weal
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
4
Weal
Hayes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
2
0
Weal
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
47.5% (6,708)
+4.3%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
51.7% (702)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
45.3% (697)
-7.8%
On power play, Weal has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Weal shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Weal
Hayes
Home
53.2% (455)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
52.3% (549)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Weal
Hayes
P1
56.6%
47.5%
P2
50.7%
47.6%
P3
51.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |