Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Weal wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 54.8% vs Eller 49.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 66.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 82.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 70.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Weal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Weal
Eller
Last 6: Weal 1-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Weal
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Weal
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Weal
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (551)
49.9% (821)
+5.5%
Power Play
64.3% (42)
52.7% (74)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
43.9% (214)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Weal is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Weal shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Weal
Eller
Home
53.5% (269)
49.4% (559)
Away
57.3% (330)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Weal
Eller
P1
60.9%
50.1%
P2
56.3%
46.7%
P3
49.5%
49.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |