Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Eller 50.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 71.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 82.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Weal
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Weal
Eller
Last 9: Weal 3-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Weal
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Weal
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
3
Weal
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
51.1% (10,296)
+0.7%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
52.8% (621)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
46.7% (1,751)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Weal shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Weal
Eller
Home
53.2% (455)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
52.3% (549)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Weal
Eller
P1
56.6%
51.2%
P2
50.7%
50.1%
P3
51.1%
50.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |