Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Weal wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 54.8% vs Johnson 49.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 69.2%
Defensive zone
Weal 68.6%
Neutral zone
Weal 71.7%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Weal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Weal
Johnson
Last 7: Weal 4-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Weal
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
2
0
Weal
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
2
1
Weal
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (551)
52.3% (88)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
27.8% (18)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Weal is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Weal shoots right. Johnson is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Weal
Johnson
Home
53.5% (269)
56.3% (32)
Away
57.3% (330)
44.6% (74)
By Period
Weal
Johnson
P1
60.9%
45.2%
P2
56.3%
58.1%
P3
49.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |