Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Johnson 49.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 74.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 63.5%
Neutral zone
Weal 65.0%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Weal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Weal
Johnson
Last 7: Weal 4-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Weal
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
2
0
Weal
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
2
1
Weal
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
51.0% (202)
+0.8%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
66.7% (3)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
30.0% (20)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Weal has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Weal is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Weal shoots right. Johnson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Weal
Johnson
Home
53.2% (455)
53.7% (67)
Away
52.3% (549)
47.5% (158)
By Period
Weal
Johnson
P1
56.6%
53.8%
P2
50.7%
53.8%
P3
51.1%
39.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |