Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 51.8% vs Lehtera 51.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 59.3%
Defensive zone
Colborne 59.5%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 52.8%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Colborne
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Colborne
Lehtera
Last 8: Colborne 5-3 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
2
1
Colborne
Lehtera
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
1
0
Colborne
Lehtera
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Colborne
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (284)
50.6% (884)
+1.5%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
53.5% (155)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
59.1% (22)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Colborne is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Colborne shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Colborne
Lehtera
Home
60.7% (163)
55.6% (549)
Away
44.5% (173)
46.5% (512)
By Period
Colborne
Lehtera
P1
59.3%
53.8%
P2
47.0%
48.9%
P3
52.4%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |