Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 71.2%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 56.0%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 66.7%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Lehtera
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lehtera
Hanzal
Last 6: Lehtera 2-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
0
Lehtera
Hanzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Lehtera
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
3
Lehtera
Hanzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
54.0% (5,547)
-3.6%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
56.7% (1,179)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
46.0% (644)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Hanzal
Home
53.7% (1,668)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Lehtera
Hanzal
P1
53.2%
54.9%
P2
50.6%
53.6%
P3
48.1%
52.4%
OT
54.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |