Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs Thompson 52.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 56.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 89.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 73.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Lehtera
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lehtera
Thompson
Last 8: Lehtera 6-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
4
1
Lehtera
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
0
Lehtera
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
54.4% (870)
-3.8%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
45.8% (24)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
45.1% (162)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Lehtera shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Thompson
Home
55.6% (549)
55.3% (510)
Away
46.5% (512)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Lehtera
Thompson
P1
53.8%
53.5%
P2
48.9%
52.2%
P3
50.8%
52.7%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |