Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Thompson 52.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 75.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 82.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Lehtera
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Lehtera
Thompson
Last 10: Lehtera 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
5
2
Lehtera
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Lehtera
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
2
Lehtera
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.7%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
54.8% (135)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
47.9% (1,381)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Thompson
Home
53.7% (1,668)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Lehtera
Thompson
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
50.6%
52.9%
P3
48.1%
52.8%
OT
54.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
48.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |