Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lehtera wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 49.2% vs Johansen 54.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 71.8%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 69.3%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 71.8%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Lehtera
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lehtera
Johansen
Last 5: Lehtera 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Lehtera
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (728)
54.0% (1,251)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (82)
58.9% (158)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
55.6% (63)
-37.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lehtera is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Lehtera shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Johansen
Home
50.6% (443)
56.3% (746)
Away
47.6% (389)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Lehtera
Johansen
P1
52.6%
54.0%
P2
48.6%
53.8%
P3
46.3%
55.7%
OT
55.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |