Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 60.3%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 52.4%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 59.6%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Lehtera
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Lehtera
Johansen
Last 10: Lehtera 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lehtera
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
5
Lehtera
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
56.2% (2,163)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
50.5% (978)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Lehtera shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Johansen
Home
53.7% (1,668)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Lehtera
Johansen
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
50.6%
53.9%
P3
48.1%
52.8%
OT
54.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
48.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |