Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.3%). Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Monahan 51.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 61.1%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 58.0%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 58.1%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Lehtera
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
18
(32 meetings)
14
18
Lehtera
Monahan
Last 10: Lehtera 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
7
4
Lehtera
Monahan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
6
Lehtera
Monahan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
8
Lehtera
Monahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
51.1% (11,356)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
53.7% (2,580)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
46.0% (766)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Monahan
Home
53.7% (1,668)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Lehtera
Monahan
P1
53.2%
50.9%
P2
50.6%
51.7%
P3
48.1%
51.0%
OT
54.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |