Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 54.8%
Defensive zone
Rask 56.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 61.9%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Lehtera
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lehtera
Rask
Last 6: Lehtera 5-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
1
Lehtera
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
54.3% (363)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
35.2% (54)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Rask
Home
53.7% (1,668)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Lehtera
Rask
P1
53.2%
50.7%
P2
50.6%
48.9%
P3
48.1%
50.7%
OT
54.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Victor Rask |