Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Bailey 44.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 78.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 77.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 78.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Henrique
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Bailey
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bailey
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
44.2% (579)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
52.5% (40)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
39.8% (108)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Bailey is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bailey
Home
51.2% (461)
45.9% (375)
Away
46.9% (565)
41.8% (361)
By Period
Henrique
Bailey
P1
49.5%
47.3%
P2
48.5%
40.4%
P3
49.1%
43.3%
OT
22.2%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |