Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Clarkson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Clarkson wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Clarkson 44.3% vs Bailey 44.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Clarkson 79.9%
Defensive zone
Bailey 81.5%
Neutral zone
Bailey 54.2%
Result
David Clarkson favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Clarkson
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Clarkson
Bailey
Last 6: Clarkson 4-2 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Clarkson
4
1
Clarkson
Bailey
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Clarkson
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Clarkson
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (109)
44.2% (579)
-3.8%
Power Play
43.2% (132)
52.5% (40)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.8% (108)
+60.2%
On penalty kill, Clarkson has a +60.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Clarkson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Clarkson shoots right. Bailey is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Clarkson
Bailey
Home
46.7% (107)
45.9% (375)
Away
38.2% (136)
41.8% (361)
By Period
Clarkson
Bailey
P1
36.6%
47.3%
P2
37.8%
40.4%
P3
50.0%
43.3%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
37.8%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Clarkson
28.0%▼
35.5%
42.0%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |