Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.2% vs Bailey 45.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 86.4%
Defensive zone
Arnott 66.1%
Neutral zone
Arnott 76.0%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Arnott
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Arnott
Bailey
Last 10: Arnott 7-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
4
1
Arnott
Bailey
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Arnott
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
0
Arnott
Bailey
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (777)
44.2% (441)
+4.8%
Power Play
58.1% (93)
48.1% (81)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
41.7% (84)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Arnott is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Arnott shoots right. Bailey is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Arnott
Bailey
Home
51.1% (460)
43.1% (295)
Away
49.3% (434)
45.6% (320)
By Period
Arnott
Bailey
P1
45.3%
46.5%
P2
54.2%
45.7%
P3
49.8%
41.3%
OT
66.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |