Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Jankowski 48.7% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 75.5%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 81.9%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 52.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Bailey
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
51.6% (126)
-11.8%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
50.0% (2)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
39.2% (51)
+40.8%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +40.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Bailey shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Bailey
Jankowski
Home
33.3% (48)
45.3% (64)
Away
43.5% (62)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Bailey
Jankowski
P1
33.3%
53.7%
P2
47.2%
45.8%
P3
39.4%
43.4%
Final 5 min
38.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%