Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Letestu 52.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 76.7%
Defensive zone
Bailey 66.0%
Neutral zone
Bailey 69.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Bailey
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Bailey
Letestu
Last 10: Bailey 4-6 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
3
Bailey
Letestu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
6
Bailey
Letestu
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
4
2
Bailey
Letestu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
53.3% (4,565)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
56.0% (687)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
44.2% (1,005)
-4.3%
On power play, Letestu has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Home / Away
Bailey
Letestu
Home
46.6% (1,353)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Bailey
Letestu
P1
46.5%
51.5%
P2
44.8%
55.0%
P3
44.4%
49.8%
OT
51.1%
51.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |