Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 30.0% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs McLeod 56.6% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 89.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 81.2%
Neutral zone
Bailey 58.8%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Bailey
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bailey
McLeod
Last 5: Bailey 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Bailey
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
58.3% (859)
-18.5%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
50.0% (28)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
53.0% (168)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Bailey shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Bailey
McLeod
Home
33.3% (48)
55.3% (526)
Away
43.5% (62)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Bailey
McLeod
P1
33.3%
60.7%
P2
47.2%
55.9%
P3
39.4%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |