Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 60.2%
Defensive zone
Bailey 55.9%
Neutral zone
Bailey 56.1%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Bailey
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Bailey
Zibanejad
Last 10: Bailey 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
7
1
Bailey
Zibanejad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
8
Bailey
Zibanejad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Bailey
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
50.9% (11,719)
-5.1%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
52.2% (1,849)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
41.5% (1,790)
-1.6%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Bailey
Zibanejad
Home
46.6% (1,353)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Bailey
Zibanejad
P1
46.5%
50.4%
P2
44.8%
49.7%
P3
44.4%
49.8%
OT
51.1%
48.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |