Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 64.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 87.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Bailey
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bailey
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Bailey
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
50.1% (1,051)
-8.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
58.3% (120)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
41.9% (227)
+18.1%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Bailey is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Bailey shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Bailey
Zibanejad
Home
37.9% (58)
49.0% (681)
Away
47.4% (38)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Bailey
Zibanejad
P1
47.2%
49.9%
P2
41.7%
47.6%
P3
33.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
36.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |