Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 48.5% vs Zibanejad 46.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 53.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 70.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Bailey
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bailey
Zibanejad
Last 5: Bailey 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Bailey
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Bailey
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (27)
47.8% (667)
+4.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
51.4% (181)
-51.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
36.0% (186)
-36.0%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Bailey is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Bailey shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Bailey
Zibanejad
Home
46.2% (13)
48.4% (529)
Away
42.1% (19)
44.2% (505)
By Period
Bailey
Zibanejad
P1
40.0%
46.2%
P2
54.5%
47.7%
P3
36.4%
44.8%
Final 5 min
16.7%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |