Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Acciari 51.3% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 77.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 85.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Bailey
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bailey
Acciari
Last 6: Bailey 3-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Bailey
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
1
Bailey
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
52.8% (3,276)
-7.0%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
48.2% (85)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
47.1% (1,061)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Bailey
Acciari
Home
46.6% (1,353)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Bailey
Acciari
P1
46.5%
52.2%
P2
44.8%
51.5%
P3
44.4%
50.5%
OT
51.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |