Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 46.2%). Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Suter 46.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 50.4%
Defensive zone
Suter 59.5%
Neutral zone
Suter 56.5%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Bailey
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bailey
Suter
Last 6: Bailey 4-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
2
Bailey
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
0
Bailey
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
46.2% (3,208)
-0.4%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
52.9% (278)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
40.3% (303)
-0.4%
On power play, Suter has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Home / Away
Bailey
Suter
Home
46.6% (1,353)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Bailey
Suter
P1
46.5%
46.6%
P2
44.8%
46.0%
P3
44.4%
46.1%
OT
51.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |