Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Suter 47.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 56.9%
Defensive zone
Suter 85.1%
Neutral zone
Suter 54.3%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Bailey
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bailey
Suter
Last 6: Bailey 4-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
2
Bailey
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
0
Bailey
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
48.0% (421)
-6.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (4)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
31.3% (32)
+28.7%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Bailey shoots left. Suter is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Bailey
Suter
Home
37.9% (58)
48.6% (183)
Away
47.4% (38)
45.6% (274)
By Period
Bailey
Suter
P1
47.2%
47.1%
P2
41.7%
47.3%
P3
33.3%
46.1%
Final 5 min
36.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |