Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Callahan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Callahan 45.0% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 51.7%
Defensive zone
Bailey 55.4%
Neutral zone
Bailey 52.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Bailey
Callahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Callahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
45.6% (136)
+0.2%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
54.8% (42)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
33.7% (83)
+6.2%
On power play, Callahan has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Callahan shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Callahan is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Bailey
Callahan
Home
46.6% (1,353)
43.2% (125)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
43.1% (137)
By Period
Bailey
Callahan
P1
46.5%
44.0%
P2
44.8%
41.5%
P3
44.4%
42.4%
OT
51.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
35.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Callahan
40.0%▼
44.5%
43.1%