Scouting Report
Scott Gomez holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bailey wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.6% vs Gomez 49.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 70.7%
Defensive zone
Bailey 89.4%
Neutral zone
Bailey 74.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Bailey
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Bailey
Gomez
Last 7: Bailey 1-6 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
3
Bailey
Gomez
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
1
Bailey
Gomez
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
2
Bailey
Gomez
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (579)
50.4% (270)
-6.2%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
50.0% (50)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (108)
25.0% (4)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Bailey is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Bailey shoots left. Gomez is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Bailey
Gomez
Home
45.9% (375)
48.3% (178)
Away
41.8% (361)
51.0% (155)
By Period
Bailey
Gomez
P1
47.3%
52.3%
P2
40.4%
47.0%
P3
43.3%
50.0%
OT
63.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |