Scouting Report
Scott Gomez holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Gomez 48.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Gomez leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 63.2%
Defensive zone
Bailey 73.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 65.0%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Bailey
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Bailey
Gomez
Last 10: Bailey 2-8 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
3
Bailey
Gomez
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
2
Bailey
Gomez
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
3
Bailey
Gomez
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
47.9% (2,814)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
50.6% (516)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
36.5% (74)
+3.4%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
Bailey
Gomez
Home
46.6% (1,353)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Bailey
Gomez
P1
46.5%
48.6%
P2
44.8%
48.2%
P3
44.4%
47.5%
OT
51.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |