Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 67.1%
Defensive zone
Bailey 71.3%
Neutral zone
Bailey 68.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Bailey
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
17
(31 meetings)
14
17
Bailey
Crosby
Last 10: Bailey 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
7
Bailey
Crosby
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
6
Bailey
Crosby
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
5
4
Bailey
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
52.8% (17,990)
-7.0%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
57.4% (4,733)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
47.1% (765)
-7.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Bailey
Crosby
Home
46.6% (1,353)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Bailey
Crosby
P1
46.5%
53.6%
P2
44.8%
53.9%
P3
44.4%
53.3%
OT
51.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |