Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Crosby 52.8% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 80.3%
Defensive zone
Bailey 58.1%
Neutral zone
Bailey 75.1%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Bailey
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Bailey
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Bailey
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Bailey
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
52.5% (1,443)
-10.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.7% (369)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
55.9% (34)
+4.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Bailey shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Bailey
Crosby
Home
37.9% (58)
53.0% (931)
Away
47.4% (38)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Bailey
Crosby
P1
47.2%
50.3%
P2
41.7%
55.4%
P3
33.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
36.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |