Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 30.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Bozak 46.2% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 71.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 79.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 55.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Bailey
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
46.7% (338)
-6.9%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
50.0% (6)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
32.6% (43)
+47.4%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Bailey shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bozak
Home
33.3% (48)
47.9% (194)
Away
43.5% (62)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Bailey
Bozak
P1
33.3%
40.2%
P2
47.2%
51.4%
P3
39.4%
43.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%