Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.6%). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Leino 46.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 56.8%
Defensive zone
Bailey 54.1%
Neutral zone
Bailey 52.3%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Bailey
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Bailey
Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Leino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Leino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Leino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
46.1% (596)
-0.3%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
42.1% (57)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
33.3% (6)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Leino is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Bailey
Leino
Home
46.6% (1,353)
46.1% (334)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Bailey
Leino
P1
46.5%
45.9%
P2
44.8%
44.8%
P3
44.4%
45.6%
OT
51.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |