Josh Bailey vs Vincent Lecavalier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Lecavalier 50.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 67.3%
Defensive zone
Lecavalier 55.6%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 63.6%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Bailey
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Bailey
Lecavalier
Last 10: Bailey 5-5 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
5
Bailey
Lecavalier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
5
0
Bailey
Lecavalier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Bailey
Lecavalier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
49.1% (3,304)
-3.3%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
53.4% (858)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
51.5% (101)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Lecavalier has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Lecavalier is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Home / Away
Bailey
Lecavalier
Home
46.6% (1,353)
51.9% (2,244)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
47.8% (2,045)
By Period
Bailey
Lecavalier
P1
46.5%
51.0%
P2
44.8%
50.8%
P3
44.4%
48.0%
OT
51.1%
56.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |