Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dunne on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dunne wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dunne 46.9% vs McLeod 58.0% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 55.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 86.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 77.8%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Dunne
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dunne
McLeod
Last 6: Dunne 4-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dunne
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dunne
2
1
Dunne
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dunne
1
0
Dunne
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dunne
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (174)
59.2% (2,894)
-12.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
57.4% (101)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
53.5% (525)
-53.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Dunne is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Dunne shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Dunne
McLeod
Home
48.3% (60)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
43.8% (128)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Dunne
McLeod
P1
42.6%
58.7%
P2
51.7%
59.9%
P3
42.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dunne
62.0%▲
45.2%
45.2%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Josh Dunne |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Josh Dunne |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |