Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Green shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.7% vs Green 48.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 58.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 88.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 82.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
MacKenzie
Green
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
MacKenzie
Green
Last 7: MacKenzie 5-2 Green
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Green
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
2
MacKenzie
Green
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Green
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (370)
42.4% (33)
+12.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
100.0% (2)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
0.0% (1)
+49.0%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Green shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (293).
MacKenzie shoots left. Green is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Green
Home
56.1% (228)
80.0% (5)
Away
52.7% (201)
37.5% (32)
By Period
MacKenzie
Green
P1
53.4%
63.6%
P2
55.1%
35.7%
P3
53.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Green
43.2%▬
43.2%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Josh Green |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Josh Green |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |