Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Jooris 48.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lowry
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Jooris
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
2
Lowry
Jooris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
3
Lowry
Jooris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
48.4% (488)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
56.3% (32)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
46.8% (47)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Lowry is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Lowry shoots left. Jooris is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jooris
Home
49.2% (425)
52.1% (330)
Away
45.3% (426)
43.9% (237)
By Period
Lowry
Jooris
P1
53.6%
45.1%
P2
39.8%
48.1%
P3
48.5%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |