Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Arcobello 50.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 70.7%
Defensive zone
Jooris 70.0%
Neutral zone
Jooris 50.8%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Jooris
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jooris
Arcobello
Last 8: Jooris 4-4 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
4
Jooris
Arcobello
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
3
0
Jooris
Arcobello
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
50.6% (1,408)
-2.0%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
60.8% (130)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
36.8% (57)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Jooris is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Jooris shoots right. Arcobello is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Jooris
Arcobello
Home
49.0% (786)
53.2% (745)
Away
46.4% (651)
48.9% (850)
By Period
Jooris
Arcobello
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
44.3%
51.3%
P3
51.3%
48.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |