Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Jooris wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Thompson 52.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Jooris 83.4%
Defensive zone
Jooris 82.1%
Neutral zone
Jooris 78.4%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Jooris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Jooris
Thompson
Last 10: Jooris 2-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Jooris
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
5
Jooris
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Jooris
Thompson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
54.1% (5,812)
-5.5%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
54.8% (135)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
47.9% (1,381)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Jooris shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Jooris
Thompson
Home
49.0% (786)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
46.4% (651)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Jooris
Thompson
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
44.3%
52.9%
P3
51.3%
52.8%
OT
66.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2017 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |