Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 45.9% vs Kesler 58.0% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 78.9%
Defensive zone
Jooris 86.3%
Neutral zone
Jooris 85.6%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Jooris
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Jooris
Kesler
Last 7: Jooris 0-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Jooris
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Jooris
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Jooris
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (194)
58.6% (1,138)
-10.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
64.5% (186)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
30.5% (59)
55.0% (351)
-24.5%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Jooris is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Jooris shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Jooris
Kesler
Home
43.4% (152)
61.0% (859)
Away
45.7% (105)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Jooris
Kesler
P1
42.4%
59.1%
P2
42.2%
56.5%
P3
49.3%
60.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |