Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jooris wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Rask 50.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Jooris leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 87.0%
Defensive zone
Rask 51.8%
Neutral zone
Rask 72.3%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Jooris
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Jooris
Rask
Last 10: Jooris 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
4
1
Jooris
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
0
Jooris
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jooris
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
50.0% (4,428)
-1.4%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
54.3% (363)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
35.2% (54)
+4.2%
On power play, Jooris has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Jooris shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Jooris
Rask
Home
49.0% (786)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
46.4% (651)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Jooris
Rask
P1
47.5%
50.7%
P2
44.3%
48.9%
P3
51.3%
50.7%
OT
66.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |