Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Norris 51.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 77.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 74.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 79.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Kerfoot
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kerfoot
Norris
Last 5: Kerfoot 4-1 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Kerfoot
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
51.2% (886)
-6.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.0% (83)
+41.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
38.8% (67)
-4.0%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Kerfoot is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Kerfoot shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Norris
Home
49.5% (107)
55.6% (487)
Away
32.4% (71)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Kerfoot
Norris
P1
38.2%
54.8%
P2
47.4%
51.3%
P3
40.4%
48.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |