Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Norris 52.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 60.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 61.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 52.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Spezza
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Spezza
Norris
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
5
Spezza
Norris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
3
Spezza
Norris
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
53.4% (635)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
50.0% (70)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (138)
26.3% (19)
+26.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Spezza shoots right. Norris is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Spezza
Norris
Home
58.4% (238)
52.7% (366)
Away
55.5% (245)
52.0% (358)
By Period
Spezza
Norris
P1
59.2%
50.4%
P2
54.8%
53.9%
P3
57.4%
52.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Josh Norris |