Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.3%). Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 77.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Norris
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Norris
Draisaitl
Last 10: Norris 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Norris
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
5
0
Norris
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
4
Norris
Draisaitl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
53.7% (923)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
56.1% (244)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
58.6% (29)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Norris
Draisaitl
Home
53.6% (373)
55.2% (636)
Away
54.1% (394)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Norris
Draisaitl
P1
61.8%
50.8%
P2
51.7%
56.6%
P3
49.8%
54.0%
OT
27.3%
67.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Josh Norris |