Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Kunin 51.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 70.0%
Defensive zone
Kunin 55.2%
Neutral zone
Kunin 50.1%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Norris
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Norris
Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Norris
Kunin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
2
Norris
Kunin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
52.7% (260)
-2.7%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
62.5% (8)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
43.6% (55)
-0.7%
On power play, Kunin has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Norris shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Norris
Kunin
Home
47.2% (193)
51.7% (151)
Away
51.6% (246)
51.2% (172)
By Period
Norris
Kunin
P1
53.8%
55.1%
P2
48.2%
55.3%
P3
47.9%
43.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |