Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.2% vs Kasper 46.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 68.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 76.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 77.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Norris
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Norris
Kasper
Last 5: Norris 4-1 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Kasper
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Kasper
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Kasper
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (2,904)
46.7% (878)
+5.9%
Power Play
53.8% (364)
46.7% (30)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
29.2% (24)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,264).
Norris shoots left. Kasper is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Norris
Kasper
Home
53.2% (1,778)
49.2% (437)
Away
51.3% (1,730)
43.6% (495)
By Period
Norris
Kasper
P1
55.6%
47.8%
P2
51.8%
51.2%
P3
50.0%
38.9%
OT
41.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Kasper
60.0%▲
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |