Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Kasper 46.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 75.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 78.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 79.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Norris
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Norris
Kasper
Last 5: Norris 4-1 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Kasper
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Kasper
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Kasper
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
47.0% (944)
+5.5%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
46.9% (32)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
30.6% (36)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Norris shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Home / Away
Norris
Kasper
Home
53.1% (1,856)
49.1% (464)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
44.2% (548)
By Period
Norris
Kasper
P1
55.6%
47.8%
P2
51.4%
51.0%
P3
50.1%
39.9%
OT
40.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |